[ April 26, 2024 ]
But it very much is the point ……
While the mainstream media have sought to downplay the impact of 2020 party conventions, polls showing President Donald Trump surging ahead as the Democrats held their virtual rally have them both stumped and spinning.
“Don’t be surprised if Biden doesn’t get a convention bounce in the polls. That’s not the point,” screamed a WaPo headline.
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As Democrats deliver 4-point poll boost to TRUMP, media spin says convention bounce ‘not the point’
By: RT, 21 Aug, 2020: =
While the mainstream media have sought to downplay the impact of 2020 party conventions, polls showing President Donald Trump surging ahead as the Democrats held their virtual rally have them both stumped and spinning.“Don’t be surprised if Biden doesn’t get a convention bounce in the polls. That’s not the point,” declared an early Friday headline in the Washington Post. Post-convention surges are hard when the country is polarized and the parties “stage theirs back to back, as they will this year,” argued opinion writer Karen Tumulty.
Except both things were just as true in 2016, which didn’t stop the media from treating the “convention bounce” as a thing of conventional wisdom. Either way, the problem was not that the virtual Democratic National Convention in Milwaukee, Wisconsin didn’t move the needle for the Democrats and their ticket of Joe Biden and Kamala Harris – it’s that it somehow managed to jolt the public opinion in favor of Trump!
The president’s approval rating among likely US voters stood at 47 percent on Wednesday, with 51 percent disapproving. By Friday morning, those numbers had flipped completely, to 51 approval and 47 percent disapproval.
These are the numbers from the daily tracking poll by Rasmussen Reports, which is weighted at 37 percent Democrat, 33 percent Republican and 30 percent Independent.
This is in stark contrast to mainstream media reactions to Biden’s acceptance speech on Thursday evening – a brief but occasionally intense denunciation of Trump’s “darkness” in favor of the “light” supposedly offered by the Democrats.
Election gurus have been laying the groundwork for managing expectations about the convention ‘bounce’ since July. American politics are polarized, they said, and the Covid-19 pandemic guaranteed the conventions would be virtual, rather than the normally raucous in-person parties that let host cities cash in.
“Maybe more people will watch the conventions than normal because they’re stuck inside because of the coronavirus pandemic,” argued CNN’s Harry Enten last weekend. “Still, the cumulative evidence suggests that a big convention bounce will be hard to come by this year.”
The popular statistical analysis website FiveThirtyEight – which gave Trump the same odds of winning this year that he beat in 2016 – cautioned in July that convention ‘bounce’ has been diminishing, “likely” due to polarized politics. Their analysis focused on how Trump will have a hard time boosting his ratings without the ability to hold large in-person rallies, due to the virus.
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18 Comments
3 years ago
3 years ago
Joe B.; ” Hunter showed me how to take a ‘little bump’ !! “
3 years ago
TRUMP supporters have seen this all before ………. can’t wait for Nov. 3rd !!!
3 years ago
Hello is anyone here?
Are there any people here?
Hey! Obama’s the Antichrist!
Don’t tell anyone.
Black Man Good, Orange Man Bad.
Protect the Antichrist Obama. Don’t reveal him.
If you reveal him you’ll be saved in heaven but you don’t want to be saved right?
3 years ago
Reply to
AR154U☑ᵀʳᵘᵐᵖ DEPLORABLE 2020
“The evil called Barack Obama”, as they say in Africa.
3 years ago
Reply to
AlgorithmicAnalyst
The day of Obamas acceptance speech in Chicago, the Illinois State Lottery Powerball winning numbers were 666, the number that indicates the Antichrist.
That’s Obama beyond any possible doubt. Biden’s down. Reveal his mentor Obama FAST.
3 years ago
I wish some independent political group would have interviews with Tara Reade. Use it as a commercial.
3 years ago
Reply to
Underzog
Linda Hirshman wrote in a New York Times opinion piece, that she believed Tara Reade, but is voting for Joe Biden anyway.
I think that says it all, that Tara Reade’s story is corroborated, likely true, but people are still voting for him.
3 years ago
DEMOCRATS ARE DESPERATE and what happens when a bad.unrighteous person is desperate? THE LIE AND DECEIVE.
TRUMP/PENCE 2020
3 years ago
DEMOCRATS ARE DESPERATE and what happens when a bad.unrighteous person is desperate? THE LIE AND DECEIVE.
TRUMP/PENCE 2020
3 years ago
3 years ago
That Democrat convention was so horrible, glad so many other people noticed.
3 years ago
No one that has any sense and pays taxes would want what the democoms have planned. Unfortunately, thanks to young Bush and Obama, there are almost as many that get more from the government than they pay in taxes. Figure there are always some oddball liberals that will vote against their own best interests and it becomes too close for comfort. Democom cheating makes it even harder.
3 years ago
This is gonna cost you, Joe. 
3 years ago
People are not being asked by polls who openly support Trump…
Its wishful thinking in the deluded Leftist’s DNA = magical thinking.
3 years ago
What a load……if Biden had gotten the 4 point bump the Dimocrats and the Fake Media would be all but declaring victory.
Post conventions bumps are precisely the point.
