[ April 19, 2024 ]
The Democrats will blow up this country rather than accept the will of the people.
Trump has 91% chance of re-election, according to model that got 25 of the last 27 elections right
The political science professor predicts Trump will have an even larger win in 2020 than his 2016 victory
The Blaze, July 9, 2020:
Story continues below advertisementA political science professor is asserting that President Donald Trump has a 91% chance of re-election in November against presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden. Stony Brook University professor Helmut Norpoth made this political forecast by using the “Primary Model,” an election prediction model that has a proven track record, including accurately predicting five out of the last six elections.
“The Primary Model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of winning in November,” Norpoth told Mediaite on Tuesday. “This model gets it right for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced.”…….
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27 Comments
3 years ago
ONE SIMPLE WAY is to compare Trump to past first-term Presidents. Most of them got re-elected, so Trump probably will be re-elected too.
3 years ago
Reply to
DemocracyRules
Then there was H.W. Bush and “read my lips, no new taxes.”
Trump can not compromise on things….he needs to STOP listening to
WOKE Javanka!
3 years ago
Reply to
felix1999
One cannot continue to place blame on the president’s advisors, whether they be family or not.
The president makes the decisions. He cannot affix blame for his letting THOUSANDS of violent criminals loose, some of which were rapists and child molesters.
And, he continued to bring in moslem “refugees” at an alarming pace. The State Department falls under the Administration. And, one cannot blame the courts, as the Administration can set the criteria for “refugees” and numbers of such.
And, the list goes on.
This is another election of voting for the lesser of several evils.
And, from any and all perspectives, President Trump ain’t nearly as evil as the others.
3 years ago
Reply to
felix1999
IVANKA TRUMP IS NOT ‘WOKE!” SHE IS FAITHFUL TO HER FATHER AND ACTUALLY LIKE DON JR, A PRETTY ACCOMPLISHED INDIVIDUAL NOT TO MENTION A LOVELY WOMAN WHO COULD HAVE MADE IT AS A MODEL IN REAL TIME! IN 2024, I THINK EITHER SHE OR DON JR WILL BE ON THE GOP TICKET FOR AT LEAST VP IF PRES. TRUMP MAKES IT! WE TRUE BELIEVERS HAVE TO SUPPORT THE TRUMP FACTION OF THE GOP AS BELIEVE IT OR NOT, THE RINOS WILL TRY TO TAKE THE GOP DOWN AGAIN!
3 years ago
BOOM again. Karaj is a nuke related site, just west of Tehran.
3 years ago
Reply to
DemocracyRules
Explosion Heard In Western Tehran: Iran State Media
Reuters Friday 10 July 202
“An explosion was heard in western Tehran on Friday, the official IRIB news agency reported, citing online reports. There have been multiple explosions around military, nuclear and industrial facilities in the past week. IRIB did not provide any additional information about the cause of the blast or possible casualties.”
—-
Explosions were reported west of Tehran on Thursday night, with some initial reports claiming that the explosions occurred at a missile depot belonging to the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC).
https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/explosions-power-outages-reported-near-tehran-634574
3 years ago
Reply to
MuhamMUDTheFakeProphet
AMEN! LET’S PRAY ISRAEL DESTROYS THEM BEFORE THEY DO SOMETHING DANGEROUS WITH THEM! WE REALLY SHOULD GET RUSSIA TO MEDIATE WITH IRAN BEFORE IT GETS A NUKE!
3 years ago
BOOM again. Karaj is a nuke related site, just west of Tehran.
3 years ago
Reply to
DemocracyRules
DR…..you just keep making my day. This is tremendous, and not a word from the Fake News Media…..
3 years ago
3 years ago
Reply to
Anthony Silvio
AMEN AND IT IS THE TRUTH! THE TRUTH IS RIGHT AND THE LEFT IS D-MNED! LOOK UP ECCLESIASTES 10:29 (NIV): “THE HEART OF THE WISE INCLINES TO THE RIGHT BUT THE HEART OF THE FOOL TO THE LEFT!” SEE EVEN BACK THEN, GOD WAS TRYING TO TELL US SOMETHING! AS WE HAVE GONE FURTHER ALONG FROM THE OBAMA NOTICE HOW MUCH MORE FOOLISH THE LEFT HAS BECOME? GEORGE SOROS ISN’T A FOOL; HE IS JUST OUTRIGHT EVIL BUT HIS PUPPETS ARE THE GREATEST FOOLS OF ALL! SUPER SUMMER RIGHTISTS!
3 years ago
3 years ago
At least it’snot a poll….if he doesn’t win then the criminal libturds cheated!!!!!
3 years ago
Don’t get cocky kid. It’s not over until it is over. We MUST NOT let up. Make it a certainty he wins in November. Getting cocky is how you lose.
{^_^}
3 years ago
Don’t get cocky kid. It’s not over until it is over. We MUST NOT let up. Make it a certainty he wins in November. Getting cocky is how you lose.
{^_^}
3 years ago
Where’s the model? I want pictures!
3 years ago
Reply to
Arcturus
Maybe you can get them from Professor Norpoth at Stoney Brook University…don’t know if he shares or not….but he was 100% accurate in the last election.
Every single “expert”, including Rasmussen and Nate Silver were dead wrong. All had Killary winning. Even with those 3.1 million illegal votes that 3 State Attorney Generals reported that they collectively had that many illegal votes that were thrown out. And that was just 3 of them.
Imagine how bad it will be this time.
3 years ago
Reply to
ladywarrior
My concern is the younger generation normally does not vote not this time.
3 years ago
Reply to
RiverFred
If we are talking about the generation that has been taught by the Communists in our education system…and the “woke” group…maybe that’s a good thing.
3 years ago
Hahahaha…I’ve been writing about Professor Norpoth since the last election. He predicted then that President Trump would win with a 94% accuracy rate of his algorithms.
I saw him again a couple of weeks ago on Tucker….he said that Trump would win again with a 91% accuracy rate of his algorithms. That was great news for me.
However, I’m not going to stop promoting President Trump….
3 years ago
I hope you’re right!
3 years ago
All the fake polls showing Biden leading Trump are the planned cover for the massive vote fraud they will use to steal the election.
3 years ago
IN MARCH, PRES TRUMP WAS POISED FOR AN ELECTORAL LANDSLIDE BUT I’M TELLING YOU RIGHTISTS, THE LEFT HAS AROUND 48% OF THE POPULATION LOCKED DOWN! WE HAVE BECOME MORE FOOLISHLY LEFTIST POST OBAMA AS HE GAVE AWAY THE STORE OF THIS COUNTRY TO THE GEORGE SOROS-IAN GLOBALIST BANKING CLIQUE THAT OWNS MOST OF THE GOVERNMENT! MOST AMERICANS WILL VOTE THEIR POCKET BOOK AND NOTHING ELSE.
REALISTICALLY, WE TRUE BELIEVERS HAVE 40% OF THE U.S. POPULATION. THERE IS A SPREAD OF 6-12% WE CAN GET TO SEE THE POINT! I HOPE THAT MY PREDICTION OF A VERY CLOSE ELECTION IS WRONG!
I WAS STARTING TO FEEL BLISS IN MARCH THEN THANKS TO THE GEORGE SOROS-IAN GLOBALIST BANKING CLIQUE’S GORILLA, MAOIST CHINA, IT HAS CHANGED! MAOIST CHINA WAS THE GEORGE SOROS-IAN GLOBALIST BANKING CLIQUE’S ACE IN THE HOLE AND THEY ARE PLAYING ALL THEIR CARDS AND WE HAVE A SMALLER DECK TO PLAY WITH BUT IF THERE IS JUST ONE GUY WHO CAN DO THE “ART OF THE DEAL” IT IS PRES. DONALD TRUMP! FACT IS THOUGH WE AMERICAN RIGHTISTS NEED ALL THE HELP WE CAN GET FROM THE NATIONALIST COUNTRIES LEFT AND I’M SAYING IT HERE, RUSSIA IS THE 2ND SUPER POWER IN THE WORLD THAT DOESN’T LIKE GEORGE SOROS AND A POWERFUL PLAYER WHOSE HELP WE NEED!
THE GLOBALIST CLIQUE SEEKS TO DESTROY US ALL! THE NATION WE WIN OR LOSE IN 2020 WILL BE OUR OWN! SUPER SUMMER, RIGHTISTS!
