Colby College - Maine Wave 4- Banners

	A	B	C	D	E	F	G	H	I	J	K	L	M	N	O	P	Q	R	S	T	U	V	W	X	Y
1	Maine General Election Poll N=879 Telephone (Landline and Cell) and Online 21-25 October 2020 +/- 3.3% at the 95% Credibility Interval
2
3		p<.05	p<.05
4			Age					Gender		Party			College/Non-college		Community type			Congressional District		York and Cumberland vs the rest of the state		Gender by age
5		All	18 to 34	35 to 44	45 to 54	55 to 65	Over 65	Male	Female	Democratic	Republican	Independent	Non Four-Year College Grad	Four Year College Grad	City	Rural area	Somewhere in between a city and rural area	CD1	CD2	All Others	York/Cumberland	Male and 49 and under	Male and 50 and over	Female and 49 and under	Female and 50 and over

6	q1: We understand that plenty of people are not registered to vote, but we are wondering if you are registered to vote?
7	Yes	100%	95%	98%	100%	100%	100%	100%	99%	100%	99%	99%	99%	100%	99%	99%	99%	100%	99%	99%	99%	99%	100%	98%	100%
8	No	0%	5%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	2%	0%
9	Unweighted N	879	169	157	139	175	239	368	503	289	283	307	542	337	154	439	281	426	453	593	286	171	197	207	296
10
11	Party
12	Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a Democrat, Republican, independent or something else?
13	Party	All	18 to 34	35 to 44	45 to 54	55 to 65	Over 65	Male	Female	Democratic	Republican	Independent	Non Four-Year College Grad	Four Year College Grad	City	Rural area	Somewhere in between a city and rural area	CD1	CD2	All Others	York/Cumberland	Male and 49 and under	Male and 50 and over	Female and 49 and under	Female and 50 and over
14	Democrat	31%	28%	27%	29%	33%	31%	27%	34%	100%	0%	0%	26%	37%	45%	24%	32%	35%	25%	26%	38%	27%	27%	28%	36%
15	Independent/Other	42%	45%	41%	46%	36%	44%	45%	38%	0%	0%	100%	41%	43%	33%	45%	43%	38%	47%	45%	38%	44%	46%	41%	37%
16	Republican	27%	27%	32%	25%	30%	25%	28%	27%	0%	100%	0%	32%	20%	22%	31%	25%	27%	28%	29%	27%	29%	27%	30%	26%
17	Unweighted N	879	169	157	139	175	239	368	503	289	283	307	542	337	154	439	281	426	453	593	286
18
19	General election: Likely to vote
20	q2: We know that people are very busy and voting can take some time. Thinking ahead to this November, how likely are you to vote in the election for president?
21	General election: Likely to vote	All	18 to 34	35 to 44	45 to 54	55 to 65	Over 65	Male	Female	Democratic	Republican	Independent	Non Four-Year College Grad	Four Year College Grad	City	Rural area	Somewhere in between a city and rural area	CD1	CD2	All Others	York/Cumberland	Male and 49 and under	Male and 50 and over	Female and 49 and under	Female and 50 and over
22	Already voted	32%	15%	18%	28%	31%	47%	30%	35%	41%	23%	32%	31%	35%	30%	28%	40%	38%	26%	28%	40%	19%	35%	20%	40%
23	Definitely will vote	61%	69%	74%	60%	67%	49%	63%	60%	56%	72%	58%	63%	58%	65%	65%	54%	58%	65%	64%	57%	67%	61%	69%	56%
24	Probably will vote	6%	16%	8%	12%	2%	4%	7%	6%	3%	4%	10%	7%	6%	5%	7%	7%	5%	8%	8%	4%	14%	4%	11%	4%
25	Probably will not vote	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
26	Definitely will not vote	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
27	Unsure about voting	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
28	Unweighted N	879	169	157	139	175	239	368	503	289	283	307	542	337	154	439	281	426	453	593	286	171	197	207	296
29
30	General Election: Enthusiasm
31	q4: Compared to previous presidential elections, are you more enthusiastic about voting than usual, or less enthusiastic?
32	General Election: Enthusiasm	All	18 to 34	35 to 44	45 to 54	55 to 65	Over 65	Male	Female	Democratic	Republican	Independent	Non Four-Year College Grad	Four Year College Grad	City	Rural area	Somewhere in between a city and rural area	CD1	CD2	All Others	York/Cumberland	Male and 49 and under	Male and 50 and over	Female and 49 and under	Female and 50 and over
33	Very enthusiastic	69%	58%	64%	68%	75%	70%	71%	67%	81%	71%	59%	65%	75%	63%	69%	72%	71%	66%	68%	70%	69%	72%	59%	70%
34	Somewhat enthusiastic	18%	18%	22%	19%	12%	19%	17%	18%	12%	17%	22%	20%	14%	19%	19%	16%	15%	21%	19%	15%	21%	15%	20%	18%
35	Not really enthusiastic	7%	11%	6%	6%	6%	9%	8%	7%	4%	5%	11%	7%	7%	9%	7%	6%	8%	7%	7%	8%	6%	8%	10%	6%
36	Not at all enthusiastic	6%	14%	9%	7%	7%	3%	5%	7%	3%	8%	8%	8%	3%	8%	5%	7%	6%	6%	6%	7%	3%	5%	12%	6%
37	Unweighted N	878	169	156	139	175	239	368	502	289	282	307	541	337	154	438	281	425	453	592	286	171	197	206	296
38
39	General Election: Voting Method
40	q3: When it comes to how you will cast your ballot, will you be voting in person on Election Day, or do you plan on voting early?
41	General Election: Voting Method	All	18 to 34	35 to 44	45 to 54	55 to 65	Over 65	Male	Female	Democratic	Republican	Independent	Non Four-Year College Grad	Four Year College Grad	City	Rural area	Somewhere in between a city and rural area	CD1	CD2	All Others	York/Cumberland	Male and 49 and under	Male and 50 and over	Female and 49 and under	Female and 50 and over
42	In person on Election Day	59%	58%	63%	68%	53%	59%	65%	52%	52%	66%	57%	64%	46%	54%	64%	50%	52%	64%	66%	42%	65%	65%	58%	48%
43	Early	36%	36%	30%	29%	42%	36%	32%	41%	42%	32%	36%	30%	51%	36%	31%	46%	41%	32%	31%	50%	31%	32%	32%	46%
44	Unsure	5%	6%	7%	3%	5%	5%	3%	7%	6%	2%	7%	6%	3%	9%	5%	3%	6%	4%	3%	9%	3%	3%	10%	6%
45	Unweighted N	425	124	107	76	72	46	180	239	115	155	155	279	146	84	236	105	189	236	301	124	122	58	140	99
46
47	General election: President
48	q6: If the election for president were held today, would you vote for:
49	General election: President	All	18 to 34	35 to 44	45 to 54	55 to 65	Over 65	Male	Female	Democratic	Republican	Independent	Non Four-Year College Grad	Four Year College Grad	City	Rural area	Somewhere in between a city and rural area	CD1	CD2	All Others	York/Cumberland	Male and 49 and under	Male and 50 and over	Female and 49 and under	Female and 50 and over
50	Donald Trump, the Republican	38%	35%	42%	38%	37%	36%	41%	35%	7%	84%	29%	43%	28%	31%	44%	32%	34%	42%	42%	30%	38%	42%	37%	34%
51	Joe Biden, the Democrat	51%	51%	46%	44%	54%	55%	49%	53%	91%	10%	49%	46%	59%	60%	45%	55%	56%	46%	45%	60%	46%	50%	46%	55%
52	One of the minor party candidates	4%	8%	4%	4%	2%	4%	3%	5%	0%	3%	7%	4%	4%	2%	3%	6%	4%	4%	4%	3%	6%	1%	8%	3%
53	Unsure at this time	8%	6%	8%	14%	7%	5%	8%	8%	2%	4%	15%	7%	9%	7%	9%	7%	7%	9%	9%	7%	10%	7%	9%	8%
54	Unweighted N	879	169	157	139	175	239	368	503	289	283	307	542	337	154	439	281	426	453	593	286	171	197	207	296
55
56	General Election: Senate
57	q7: As you probably know, Maine will use a ranked-choice process. Who will be your first choice for the Senate:
58	General Election: Senate	All	18 to 34	35 to 44	45 to 54	55 to 65	Over 65	Male	Female	Democratic	Republican	Independent	Non Four-Year College Grad	Four Year College Grad	City	Rural area	Somewhere in between a city and rural area	CD1	CD2	All Others	York/Cumberland	Male and 49 and under	Male and 50 and over	Female and 49 and under	Female and 50 and over
59	Susan Collins	43.4%	33%	48%	39%	46%	44%	43%	44%	9%	87%	40%	46%	40%	36%	49%	39%	41%	47%	47%	38%	38%	45%	47%	43%
60	Sara Gideon	46.6%	51%	42%	45%	49%	47%	47%	46%	86%	10%	42%	44%	52%	56%	40%	50%	52%	41%	41%	55%	46%	47%	40%	49%
61	Max Linn	1.7%	3%	3%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	1%	3%	2%	0%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	4%	2%	2%	1%
62	Lisa Savage	4.7%	5%	6%	5%	2%	6%	4%	5%	4%	2%	8%	5%	5%	3%	5%	6%	4%	5%	5%	4%	4%	4%	7%	5%
63	Unsure	3.6%	7%	1%	9%	2%	2%	4%	3%	0%	1%	8%	4%	4%	3%	3%	4%	2%	5%	5%	2%	8%	2%	5%	2%
64	Unweighted N	879	169	157	139	175	239	368	503	289	283	307	542	337	154	439	281	426	453	593	286	171	197	207	296
65
66	General Election: Senate
67	q9: And who would be your second choice?
68	General Election: Senate	All	18 to 34	35 to 44	45 to 54	55 to 65	Over 65	Male	Female	Democratic	Republican	Independent	Non Four-Year College Grad	Four Year College Grad	City	Rural area	Somewhere in between a city and rural area	CD1	CD2	All Others	York/Cumberland	Male and 49 and under	Male and 50 and over	Female and 49 and under	Female and 50 and over
69	Susan Collins	7%	10%	6%	8%	7%	6%	7%	7%	10%	4%	7%	6%	7%	9%	7%	5%	7%	7%	7%	7%	8%	7%	6%	7%
70	Sara Gideon	7%	8%	10%	7%	7%	5%	6%	8%	4%	7%	9%	7%	7%	10%	7%	5%	7%	7%	7%	7%	8%	5%	11%	7%
71	Lisa Savage	37%	38%	37%	34%	38%	36%	34%	38%	50%	25%	34%	39%	33%	38%	38%	34%	38%	35%	34%	41%	37%	34%	35%	39%
72	Max Linn	16%	14%	17%	18%	14%	17%	18%	14%	14%	21%	14%	15%	18%	14%	16%	18%	16%	16%	17%	14%	16%	19%	17%	14%
73	Unsure	33%	29%	30%	32%	34%	36%	34%	33%	22%	42%	36%	33%	34%	30%	31%	38%	32%	35%	35%	31%	31%	36%	31%	33%
74	Unweighted N	879	169	157	139	175	239	368	503	289	283	307	542	337	154	439	281	426	453	593	286	171	197	207	296
75
76	General election: First Congressional District
77	q10: If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives was held today, would you vote for
78	General election: U.S. House - 1st District	All	18 to 34	35 to 44	45 to 54	55 to 65	Over 65	Male	Female	Democratic	Republican	Independent	Non Four-Year College Grad	Four Year College Grad	City	Rural area	Somewhere in between a city and rural area	CD1	CD2	All Others	York/Cumberland	Male and 49 and under	Male and 50 and over	Female and 49 and under	Female and 50 and over
79	Chellie Pingree, the Democrat	58%	50%	55%	55%	60%	60%	56%	58%	93%	15%	56%	51%	66%	71%	49%	57%	58%	-	45%	63%	57%	56%	55%	60%
80	Jay Allen, the Republican	31%	35%	33%	25%	36%	29%	34%	29%	2%	75%	26%	37%	23%	23%	38%	30%	31%	-	40%	27%	35%	33%	31%	29%
81	Unsure	11%	16%	13%	20%	4%	11%	10%	12%	5%	10%	18%	12%	11%	6%	13%	13%	11%	-	15%	10%	8%	10%	14%	12%
82	Unweighted N	426	92	73	66	80	115	172	251	166	142	118	251	175	93	157	173	426	-	140	286	84	88	108	143
83
84	General election: Second Congressional District
85	q11: If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives was held today, would you vote for
86	General election: U.S. House - 2nd District	All	18 to 34	35 to 44	45 to 54	55 to 65	Over 65	Male	Female	Democratic	Republican	Independent	Non Four-Year College Grad	Four Year College Grad	City	Rural area	Somewhere in between a city and rural area	CD1	CD2	All Others	York/Cumberland	Male and 49 and under	Male and 50 and over	Female and 49 and under	Female and 50 and over
87	Jared Golden, the Democrat	56%	48%	41%	52%	60%	66%	51%	60%	95%	20%	56%	55%	58%	63%	55%	55%	-	56%	56%	-	43%	55%	39%	70%
88	Dale Crafts, the Republican	31%	38%	40%	32%	29%	26%	35%	27%	3%	72%	23%	32%	29%	31%	33%	26%	-	31%	31%	-	37%	35%	37%	23%
89	Unsure at this time	13%	15%	18%	16%	12%	8%	13%	13%	2%	8%	21%	13%	13%	6%	12%	20%	-	13%	13%	-	20%	10%	24%	8%
90	Unweighted N	449	77	83	73	95	121	194	250	122	163	164	288	161	60	279	108	-	449	449	-	86	108	99	151
91
92	General Election: Candidate Qualifications
93	q12: Would you be more willing to support a candidate who has a great deal of experience in public life, or a candidate who promises to bring new ideas and energy into the office?
94	General Election: Candidate Qualifications	All	18 to 34	35 to 44	45 to 54	55 to 65	Over 65	Male	Female	Democratic	Republican	Independent	Non Four-Year College Grad	Four Year College Grad	City	Rural area	Somewhere in between a city and rural area	CD1	CD2	All Others	York/Cumberland	Male and 49 and under	Male and 50 and over	Female and 49 and under	Female and 50 and over
95	Great deal of Experience	46%	53%	43%	44%	50%	44%	44%	48%	44%	59%	39%	48%	43%	59%	46%	40%	49%	43%	44%	50%	45%	43%	40%	51%
96	New ideas and energy	54%	47%	57%	56%	50%	56%	56%	52%	56%	41%	61%	52%	57%	41%	54%	60%	51%	57%	56%	50%	55%	57%	60%	49%
97	Unweighted N	817	164	155	134	162	202	340	469	265	269	283	509	308	146	413	254	392	425	554	263	167	173	203	266
98
99	General Election: Candidate Qualifications
100	q13: Would you be more willing to support a candidate who wants to find compromise solutions, or a candidate who will stick to the party platform?