EXIT STRATEGY: Letting young people choose to be infected and protecting the elderly is ‘best way out of lockdown’

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Photo: People defy the lockdown restrictions in NYC yesterday.

The Fauci and Birx failed strategy must be abandoned before the catastrophic consequences of the lockdowns are irreversible.

https://twitter.com/PamelaGeller/status/1257325990243528704

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EXIT STRATEGY

Letting young people choose to be infected and protecting the elderly is ‘best way out of lockdown’

LETTING young people choose to be infected with coronavirus and protecting the elderly is the best way out of lockdown, scientists say. 

Researchers from the University of Edinburgh have developed a “stratify-and shield” policy for combating Covid-19 in the UK – and they say it is time to consider the approach as an alternative to social distancing measures.

Researchers say allowing low-risk, young individuals to be exposed to infection would be one way out of lockdownetty

The strategy would involve imposing more intense measures on the elderly and high-risk individuals while allowing low-risk, young individuals to be exposed to infection until the bulk of the population has developed immunity.

The idea would be to protect against any second wave of coronavirus, once the epidemic has passed while relieving the strain on the NHS.

“It is time to give serious consideration to a stratify-and-shield policy that could bring the Covid-19 epidemic to an end in a matter of months while restoring economic activity, avoiding overload of critical care services, and limiting mortality,” say Paul McKeigue and Helen Colhoun from the University of Edinburgh.

The researchers say the epidemic will only pass if the population’s immunity reached a level where the reproduction number (number of secondary infection cases arising from one original case) dropped to below one – either as a result of natural immunity or immunisation.

Risk levels assigned

And as an effective vaccine is not expected to be available for at least one year, their “stratify-and shield” policy would be the next best option.

Their strategy would use medical records to assign risk levels to people to determine who should and shouldn’t be shielded.

The analysis found that the proportion of the population that would be shielded under the policy would be no more than 15 per cent.

Meanwhile, the other 85 per cent would voluntarily expose themselves to the virus.

This policy has the potential to save lives, restore economic activity and end the epidemic long before a vaccine is available

University of Edinburgh researchers

These people would then be able to resume something closer to normal life, once sufficient numbers were immune and the Government allowed it.

“A stratify-and-shield policy using a classifier based on medical records has the potential to save lives, restore economic activity and end the epidemic long before a vaccine is expected to be available,” the researchers write.

“This policy option should not be dismissed but seriously evaluated as an alternative to adaptive social distancing.”

Despite this, the researchers say there are areas of uncertainty including the prevalence of immunity, the degree to which infection results in immunity, the fatality ratio, and how a classifier based on medical history performs.

“Any shielding strategy involves issues of ethics and equity in that those in the unshielded group are asked to accept a low risk so that not just they, but those shielded from infection, can emerge from isolation sooner,” write McKeigue and Colhoun.

Their paper, published in medRxiv, is a new idea and has not been published or extensively peer reviewed.

And experts say scientists still do not know how safe this theory would be.

Dr Daniel Atkinson, clinical lead at Treated.com, told The Sun Online: “Because the voluntary exposure theory is still being explored, we still don’t know how safe or effective it would be overall, in helping to develop a ‘herd immunity’.

We still don’t know how safe or effective it would be overall

Dr Daniel AtkinsonClinical Lead Treated.com

“This strain of coronavirus is new to us, so we’re learning more about it all the time, and we still don’t know enough about the dynamics of immunity yet to know how safe the practice would be.

“One theory is that people who develop more severe disease produce more antibodies, which might be thought to protect them from reinfection for longer; but that people who have milder disease produce antibodies in lower numbers, which might be thought to protect them against reinfection for less time.

“So for now, it’s definitely best that people stick to social distancing and stay at home guidelines set out by the government.

“If such an approach was employed, it would presumably not be suggested to people who are shielding due to an underlying condition that puts them at increased risk of serious disease (or anyone who these people share a household with).”

Risk of ‘social unrest’

The University of Edinburgh’s “stratify-and shield” policy comes after Dr Chris Hope, from Cambridge University, similarly suggested people should opt to be infected with Covid-19 and stay at home until they are no longer infectious, instead of abiding by social distancing measures.

Despite this, people at high risk or those with pre-existing conditions could not be offered the chance to take part in voluntary exposure.

Last week, a former minister warned that keeping over 70s in lockdown could lead to “social unrest” as many would be “willing to risk jail” to break out.

Baroness Ros Altmann said using age-based criteria to lift lockdown restrictions would be “age discrimination”.

The former pensions minister said it would send a message that older people’s lives “don’t count in the same way as others”.

Comedian Sir Michael Palin, 76, also agreed in a separate interview that any age restrictions would be “very difficult and very wrong and very unfair”.

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WadeBaker
WadeBaker
3 years ago

Of course. Trying to shield everybody from the virus is a doomed strategy.

knightsstrength
knightsstrength
3 years ago

If one wants the White House News letter

https://www.whitehouse.gov/1600dailysignup/

felix1999
felix1999
3 years ago

I agree! Being in the “at risk group” others shouldn’t be punished and need to get on with their lives. Open the country up across the board!

Trevor Fortune
Trevor Fortune
3 years ago
Reply to  felix1999

Here in the dictatorship of Queensland Australia some young kids had a party so they are threatening to lock down the whole state again to punish everyone for the actions of a few. Sieg Heil dear leader.

tatka150
tatka150
3 years ago
Reply to  Trevor Fortune

Listen to Chicago Mayor speech. You don’t need to think about Australia. It’s right here.

Beverly
Beverly
3 years ago
Reply to  tatka150

Include MI Governor.

Leonard Payne
Leonard Payne
3 years ago
Reply to  Trevor Fortune

Then take your country back!!!

noitaint
noitaint
3 years ago
Reply to  Leonard Payne

They gave-up their guns.

Quantumphase
Quantumphase
3 years ago
Reply to  felix1999

There is NO compromise with the collective. Unless we want to be absorbed into the hive
we must stand up in protest against the socio/commie horde that is encroaching on our
freedoms.

Mrs. Patriot
Mrs. Patriot
3 years ago
Reply to  Quantumphase

Protesting does nothing.

noitaint
noitaint
3 years ago
Reply to  Mrs. Patriot

But get you killed if not done properly.

Leonard Payne
Leonard Payne
3 years ago
Reply to  felix1999

The “at risk group” should not be “punished” either.

Make things “available” to the “at risk group”, or to other rolling in fear, but you have NO RIGHT and NO AUTHORITY to do any more than that … the Constitution, the Organic Laws, and the Second Amendment makes that guarantee.

Mrs. Patriot
Mrs. Patriot
3 years ago
Reply to  Leonard Payne

Not to mention taking taxpayer dollars and routing it to Big Pharma and Big Tech. $1200 per person, times the US population of 350 million (INCLUDING kids) is 420 billion. Nowhere near 2 trillion. So who got the rest? Big businesses, that’s who.

gfmucci .
gfmucci .
3 years ago

Exactly. Let those who justifiable fear the disease stay quarantined. Let those who are not justifiably concerned roam among the herd and develop “herd immunity”. That should be enough for the target 70 to 80%. Individual choice and freedom are wonderful things.

DemocracyRules
DemocracyRules
3 years ago

BREAKING: Israel Makes ‘Significant Breakthrough’ In Developing A Coronavirus Antidote
https://www.dailywire.com/news/breaking-israel-makes-significant-breakthrough-in-developing-coronavirus-antidote
It’s a simple concept, but hard to do. Sick people make antibodies [produced by white blood cells] to fight infections. Problems happen if they’re too little too late. The germs replicate faster than the antibodies, and they win the fight. So how about just making a bunch of antibodies that kill a certain germ, and then load up the patient with them when the disease starts. That’s what the Israelis are doing now to kill Covid-19 viruses.

“Israel’s main biological research lab has reportedly made a “significant breakthrough” in the fight against the coronavirus as it has isolated a key antibody that will go toward potential treatments for the virus. Defense Minister Naftali Bennett visited the Israel Institute for Biological Research (IIBR) labs where he was reportedly shown an “antibody which attacks the virus in a monoclonal way and can neutralize it within the bodies of those ill,” according to a statement from his office.”

Drew the Infidel
Drew the Infidel
3 years ago

When I cast my vote in 2016 it was for Trump to run the country and not some little sawed-off bureaucratic Hillary supporting wop.

oldschoolpatriot
oldschoolpatriot
3 years ago

do you believe in federalism? I think these governors just need to be tossed out of office next time around. You guys elected them. Trump’s job is not to “run the country”. Read your Constitution.

Drew the Infidel
Drew the Infidel
3 years ago

I’d rather have Trump in the WH than any of the other choices available. How’s that for correctness?

noitaint
noitaint
3 years ago

If Trump does “Not” win in November, America is “toast!” FINO! (freedom in name only.)

oldschoolpatriot
oldschoolpatriot
3 years ago

Bless your little heart, Pam. Did you think we all lived in pods? I’m not saying we should continue the lockdown, nor am I saying we should open up and go back to business as usual tomorrow. But stop with that silly fig leaf of “elderly stafe at home and the young folks go back to work and school”. There no way – unless you advocate throwing all of the older people into nursing homes (where they are absolutely SURE of getting it), there is no way to “open up” and not be “opened up” to the elderly. The older people are part of the economy – they eat in restaurants, they shop in stores. They get together with friends and play cards, they go to movies. I they don’t there’s going to be a huge hole in the marketplace. It is either all or nothing. There is no way unless we send some of the people to a gulag, that we can have the old folks stay home and the young uns out at work and school. No way. I am sick to death of you and idiots like Ben Shapiro spouting this nonsense.

old white guy
old white guy
3 years ago

Open everything up. I am damn old and am not afraid of a virus.

movingwaters
movingwaters
3 years ago

I am 68 with elevated BP, probably from the stress of hearing about Democrats. I have been roaming the herd, unmasked, as much as I can. Now that most of the herd is wearing masks it probably does no good for my immunity. The thought of people over 65 calling it “age discrimination” to lift the lockdown and carefully resume normal economic and social activity makes me sick. Much as I try to keep myself healthy I would rather get sick from this virus than have tyranny under the excuse of medicine destroy this country.

We are going to see worse than this in the near future. I think people have to buck up, discern the times, and strategize how to keep going.

old white guy
old white guy
3 years ago

I am elderly and I think young and old alike should be doing what we always do. Stop with the fascist control, we fought wars with millions dead to eliminate and prevent what we are now accepting. Come on folks where is your courage? 0.1% fatality rate is lower than the seasonal flu, did you all stay home during that? If someone is personally afraid then lock yourself up but you don’t get to lock me up.

Leonard Payne
Leonard Payne
3 years ago
Reply to  old white guy

From one to another …. Stand To!

Tabludama
Tabludama
3 years ago

Should have been the policy from the start. Shutting down the economy will have far worse effects than the virus and it was unnecessary.

Leonard Payne
Leonard Payne
3 years ago

” The strategy would involve imposing more intense measures on the elderly ”

First off, understand this ….. YOU HAVE NO RIGHT AND NO “AUTHORITY” TO “IMPOSE” ANYTHING …..
I’m 70, I’m diabetic, I had a heart attack 12 years ago ……and ….. YOU HAVE NO RIGHT & NO “AUTHORITY” TO “IMPOSE” ANYTHING ON ME.
If you try, I may “impose” myk 1911 on you – understand?
The only two that have any “right” or any “authority” to “impose” anything, or to “protect” me …. are my mother & God Almighty …. and my mother lost that privilege 35 years ago.

If you want to “protect yourself” … go ahead, but DO NOT TELL ME WHAT I HAVE TO DO – it will not work.
It is MY LIFE and the ONLY one that I have to account to is the one who created my life.

Second …. since Hydroxychloroqine & Z-pak have a VERY HIGH success rate …. why the Hell is anyone willing to “wait for a vaccine”? Personally, you try to inject me with ANYTHING that I did not request, I may well inject you with 230grains of Plumbum …. understand?
NO ONE – save God Almighty – has the “right” or “authority” to do ANYTHING to me that I do not want. Understand, the US is a REPUBLIC, no a damned democracy …… no, the “majority” cannot force the rest to do what the “herd” wants …. try reading the Constitution and the rest of the Organic Laws (don’t know what that is? Look it up)

noitaint
noitaint
3 years ago
Reply to  Leonard Payne

Very well said!

Mrs. Patriot
Mrs. Patriot
3 years ago

All you have to do is look at Birx’s eyes to see that she is talking through her eyelashes. That is a sign of lying, knowingly.

IndigoRed
IndigoRed
3 years ago

Treat the sick, bury the dead, get on with life.

noitaint
noitaint
3 years ago
Reply to  IndigoRed

It “is” just that simple. However, I must add, “praise the Lord!”

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