https://twitter.com/tomfgoodwin/status/1245748926734635009

Actual Hospitalizations for Coronavirus Significantly Lower than Projections in Model

By Breitbart, April 5, 2020:

The Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) model cited by White House Coronavirus Task Force officials appears to dramatically overstate the hospitalization of patients with coronavirus in the United States when the model’s projections are compared to actual data, a Breitbart News analysis finds.

Story continues below advertisement

https://twitter.com/PamelaGeller/status/1245773623559745539

Breitbart News compared projections of the number of regular hospital beds needed to treat coronavirus patients made in the Friday, April 3 iteration of the IHME model for nine states to the actual number of cumulative hospitalizations (a number that includes current regular bed hospitalizations, current ICU hospitalizations, previously hospitalized and released patients, and previously hospitalized and deceased patients) reported by the respective health departments in those states as of Thursday, April 2.

The results showed that the actual number of cumulative hospitalizations as a percentage of regular hospital beds needed projected by the IHME model ranged from nine percent in Tennessee to 47 percent in Florida.

Even in New York State, the epicenter of the coronavirus pandemic, the actual number of cumulative hospitalizations as a percentage of regular hospital beds needed projected by the IHME model was only 37 percent.

These numbers, however, actually understate the degree to which the IHME model overestimates the number of hospital beds currently needed for coronavirus patients because the numerator–cumulative hospitalizations–includes data well in addition to the actual number of current regular hospital beds in use for coronavirus patients, since it also includes current ICU hospital beds in use for coronavirus patients as well as previously hospitalized coronavirus patients either released or deceased.

Data on cumulative hospitalizations in currently reported by most states, while some provide more detailed information.

The Department of Public Health in Minnesota, for instance, reported as of April 2 that 46 out of the 156 reported cumulative hospitalizations in the state for coronavirus are patients currently in regular hospital beds, while 40 are patients in ICU hospital beds and 70 are formerly hospitalized patients who have been released or are deceased.

Here is a breakdown of the actual number of cumulative hospitalizations reported by these nine states as of April 2, as compared to the number of regular hospital beds projected for coronavirus patients in those states on April 2 by the IHME model:

Colorado: Cumulative hospitalizations of 710 divided by regular hospital bed projections of 3,141 = 23 percent.
Ohio: Cumulative hospitalizations of 802 divided by regular hospital bed projections of 2,436 = 33 percent
Tennessee: Cumulative hospitalizations of 263 divided by regular hospital bed projections of 2,741 = 9 percent
Texas: Cumulative hospitalizations of 196 divided by regular hospital bed projections of 1,968 = 10 percent
New York: Cumulative hospitalizations of 20,817 divided by regular hospital bed projections of 56,183 = 37 percent
Florida: Cumulative hospitalizations of 1,215 divided by regular hospital bed projections of 2,612 = 47 percent
Georgia: Cumulative hospitalizations of 1,158 divided by regular hospital bed projections of 3,089 = 37 percent
Iowa: Cumulative hospitalizations of 138 divided by regular hospital bed projections of 384 = 36 percent
Minnesota: Cumulative hospitalizations of 156 divided by regular hospital bed projections of 823 = 19 percent

Notably, the IHME model’s current projections of COVID-19 deaths as of April 2 is in line with the actual number of reported deaths on that date.

Breitbart News provided this data to the media spokesperson for the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation on Friday and asked if they could explained why the IHME model’s projections of regular hospital beds needed is so badly off the mark from actual beds required for COVID-19 patients up to April 2 but has not yet received a response.

The Truth Must be Told

Your contribution supports independent journalism

Please take a moment to consider this. Now, more than ever, people are reading Geller Report for news they won't get anywhere else. But advertising revenues have all but disappeared. Google Adsense is the online advertising monopoly and they have banned us. Social media giants like Facebook and Twitter have blocked and shadow-banned our accounts. But we won't put up a paywall. Because never has the free world needed independent journalism more.

Everyone who reads our reporting knows the Geller Report covers the news the media won't. We cannot do our ground-breaking report without your support. We must continue to report on the global jihad and the left's war on freedom. Our readers’ contributions make that possible.

Geller Report's independent, investigative journalism takes a lot of time, money and hard work to produce. But we do it because we believe our work is critical in the fight for freedom and because it is your fight, too.

Please contribute here.

or

Make a monthly commitment to support The Geller Report – choose the option that suits you best.

• $25.00 here
• $50.00 here
• $75.00 here
• $100.00 here
• $250.00 here

0 0 votes

Article Rating

10 Comments

Oldest

Newest Most Voted

Inline Feedbacks

View all comments

Mohammed_Goldberg

4 years ago

Whoever made the graph must have used RealDoll’s Harmony’s peaks as the model for the graph.

0

felix1999

4 years ago

May I help with that?
The fraud is all interconnected and deliberate.

How Bill Gates is influencing USA COVID-19 policy:
1) Funds IHME & scientist (Murray) Dr Birx relies on for models.
2) Major grants to Imperial College, produced other US model.
3) Influences WHO research. Backs corrupt pres.

Time to get opinions from outside Bill Gates’ circle?
Attention journalists:

When you hear Dr. Birx discuss “Chris Murray model” in WH pressers, it’s not actually his model. It’s the Bill Gates model. Gates established IHME & handpicked Murray as its leader. Murray is 100% subservient to Bill Gates. Power dynamic is very clear.

Please see link. IHME and Murray are 100% Bill Gates-controlled, and it’s always been that way:

$105 million Gates’ gift helps start global health center
The new health metrics institute established at the University of Washington thanks largely to a $105 million donation from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation probably represents the most significant…

https://www.seattlepi.com/local/article/105-million-Gates-gift-helps-start-global-1239473.php

You have to understand that the leader of WHO is just as much of Bill Gates’s pet as he is China’s pet.

0

Chris Wolf

4 years ago

Most if not all deaths are resulting from “underlying conditions” in people who, without extreme measures and massive pharma, would have been dead long ago, but are opportunistically stamped coronavirus by the Leftist media.
The mayor of NYC did not want the 400-bed Samaritan’s Purse hospital set up in Central Park. Is that because he didn’t want it to be seen sitting almost empty, like the two Navy ships Mercy and Comfort?
This 24/7 onslaught of gruesome images and desperate testimonies on the Leftist media is a virtual tutorial of an industrial Orwellian/Chomsky propaganda that we’re being mercilessly persecuted under.
If an afflicted person reaches the point of being put on a torturous and inhuman “ventilator” that person has an 80 percent chance of occupying that ICU bed under heavy sedation and life support for three weeks — then dying.
This chinavirus that has been visited upon us by the treason policies of African dictator “obama” and his globalist, racist regime is what I refer to as “WHAT THEY’RE CAPABLE OF” in order to take back power.
And to prove that they were right.
They have America by the throat and they’re trying to kill it.

0

SJ Husak

4 years ago

The administration’s spokespeople have very clearly stated that the models are built on numbers from other countries and they hope to do substantially better. It is no surprise that under President Trump’s team’s leadership we are doing better than the models.

0

felix1999

4 years ago

Reply to  SJ Husak

The other countries (Italy, Spain) are not comparable to our country. Plus another model is using NY and NJ which skews that model. These people have a scaremonger agenda.

0

jd

4 years ago

Waitaminit Brietbart folks. I saw you palm that card. You claim over 20,000 hospitalized patients when NY only has under 14,000 beds plus some extreme measures to gain more.. So the limit is not slow development of Xi’s Disease. It is raw incompetence and political malfeasance in New York that only 20,817 were hospitalized on the 2nd (26,383 today the 4th). There are no more places to put patients. Therefore the numbers actually hospitalized are artificially low. That said, California, with a big surplus of beds at this time, is running at about half the projected level. So we are doing better under Trump than expected or than we had any right to expect. Consider how the left fell into weep-wail mode over closing the border to China, the one with the most Chinese travelers, in January. The right coast was closed at a later date with their mostly European travelers. Compare and contrast allowing some windage for the Cumo/DeBlasio tag team of killer level incompetents. (Yeas, we have Newsome out here so….) The left screamed. Trump saved lives. I’ll pick the life saver in a er “New York Second.”

{^_^}

0

Drew the Infidel

4 years ago

Keep in mind that computer modeling is the only “evidence” the gullible warming acolytes have. It is also what caused Hillary to think it was unnecessary for her to campaign in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey in 2016.

As the old computer acronym has it, GIGO or garbage in, garbage out.

0

Roma Mikhasev

4 years ago

GLORY OF GOD!

0

Don39

4 years ago

All models are besieged by a conglomeration of human error and bias’. According to models the earth is already wiped out by global warming, greenhouse gases, and numerous other mankind created events.

0

Leonard Payne

4 years ago

A “model” is just that … a model. A model is designed to replicate ‘something’ … in this case, a virus.
However, a “model” will replicate EXACTLY what the model is “designed” to replicate, no more, no less.

Go to Hobby Lobby, buy a model of a P-51 Mustang, take it home and build the Enterprise (carrier or spaceship, it matters naught) …. can’t do it, huh? Why! Because the “model” will not allow alterations and remain “the model”.

0